Monday, February 8

Monday Mail Bag - 2010 Lineup

Happy Monday to everybody! I think everybody was pretty surprised with the finish in the Super Bowl last night. I know I was. And I was a little bummed too. I know, I know... I usually am pulling for the underdogs, but I like Peyton and the Saints just seem so cocky. But I do give the Saints a tip of my proverbial cap. But you won't catch me saying "Who Dat" anytime soon...other than that one time just now.

OK...on to some baseball. Looks like only one question in the mail bag again this week. The question for this week is:
"So assuming the Cards don't do anymore dealing, what do you think will be our opening day lineup? Is there anyone coming up from the minors that might surprise us?"
Personally, I don't think there will be any surprises. For the most part we have our lineup set. Mozeliak is done doing what he does...or rather, what he rarely does. And I really don't want to go out on a limb like I did last year. (Last season in spring training I picked Motte to be our closer. La Russa made the same decision. Then Motte went out opening day and blew a save to the Pirates. I was right...but wish I could have been wrong.)


Here it is - my guess at the 2010 starting lineup, rotation, closer, and bench.

Opening Day Starting Lineup:
  1. 2B - Skip Schumaker
  2. CF - Colby Rasmus
  3. 1B - Albert Pujols
  4. LF - Matt Holliday
  5. RF - Ryan Ludwick
  6. 3B - David Freese
  7. C - Yadier Molina
  8. SS - Brendan Ryan
  9. Pitcher Spot
Rotation:
  1. Chris Carpenter
  2. Adam Wainwright
  3. Kyle Lohse
  4. Brad Penny
  5. Blake Hawksworth (call it my "out-on-a-limb" pick - meaning, if Hawksworth makes the rotation, remember that I said it first, and if he doesn't, forget I ever said this)
Bench:
  1. C - Jason LaRue
  2. IF - Julio Lugo
  3. IF - Tyler Greene
  4. OF - Allen Craig
Bullpen:
  1. Mitchell Boggs
  2. Ryan Franklin
  3. Josh Kinney
  4. Kyle McClellan
  5. Trever Miller
  6. Jason Motte
  7. Dennys Reyes
  8. P.J. Walters
Wow...seeing that bullpen written out scares the life out of me. Hopefully we can lead the league in complete games...

Anyway, that is all I have for today. Have a good Monday. Oh, and don't forget - less than 9 days 'til P's & C's!

See ya tomorrow Cards Nation

Friday, February 5

United Cardinal Bloggers To Interview Kyle McClellan

The United Cardinal Bloggers will be interviewing St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Kyle McClellan on Saturday, February 6, at 4:30 pm Central for a special edition of the UCB Radio Hour.

McClellan, a Missouri native who has spent two years with the Cardinals, was 4-4 with a 3.38 ERA coming out of the pen last year. He has been a solid part of the bullpen since his debut in 2008 and has been conditioning himself to challenge for the fifth spot in the St. Louis rotation this spring.

The United Cardinal Bloggers were formed in 2007 to foster communication and collaboration between those that blog about St. Louis. The UCB Radio Hour began late in 2008 and now is a weekly staple, airing Wednesdays at 9:30 pm Central at Blog Talk Radio and available for download as a podcast from that site and from iTunes.

No callers will be taken for the McClellan interview, though callers are encouraged on the regular Wednesday show.

The McClellan interview can be heard here, and the show page at Blog Talk Radio can be found here.

Grading Last Year's Predictions:
NL East

I didn't do half bad on my 2009 American League predictions. Let's move over to the real baseball today, the National League. You know, the league where everybody bats. That one.

Today I'll break down how I did on my NL East predictions from a year ago.
[Here's the link to that entry]

NL East Predicted: Mets, Phillies, Marlins, Braves, Nationals
NL East Actual: Phillies, Marlins, Braves, Mets, Nationals

Breakdown: My order was perfect...if it weren't for those idiot Mets! But that's why you play the game, right? The Mets at one point last season had $88 million on the disabled list. To put that in different terms, they had more money on the DL than half the league had spent on their whole teams. Fifteen teams last year had a payroll under $88 million.

I believe if they could have kept everyone healthy, they could have given the division a run for it's money. The Phills were too good, so my prediction still would have been wrong. But at least I would have looked a little better. Instead the team I picked to win the division finished in fourth and were 22 games out. Way to make me look stupid, Mets. Just adding to the reasons New York makes me mad.

Anyway, I give myself a D for that prediction, because I did pick the Nationals to finish last and that was perfect. And that has to count for something.

Everybody have a good weekend. I'll talk to y'all again on Monday.

Thursday, February 4

Grading Last Year's Predictions:
American League

So with spring training inching closer and closer, it is almost time for me to make my 2010 predictions. But before I do that, I thought I should take a look back and grade myself on how I did last year.

Today I will be looking at how my American League predictions panned out. The rest of the schedule looks like this:
  • Fri. 2/5 - Grading 2009 NL East Predictions
  • Mon. 2/8 - Mail Bag (Send me your questions!)
  • Tues. 2/9 - Grading 2009 NL West Predictions
  • Wed. 2/10 - Grading 2009 NL Central Predictions
  • Thur. 2/11 - Grading 2009 Postseason & Awards Predictions
So, without further adieu, lets get at it.
[Here's my link to the 2009 AL Predictions article: 2009 AL Pred.]

AL West Predicted: Angels, Rangers, A's, Mariners
AL West Actual: Angels, Rangers, Mariners, A's

AL West Grade: A-
Considering I only flip-flopped the 3rd and 4th place positions, I give myself a solid A-. Got a problem with how this teacher grades? Call the principal. Oh, and I'm the principal, too. So don't waste your time.

AL Central Predicted: Twins, White Sox, Indians, Tigers, Royals
AL Central Actual: Twins, Tigers, White Sox, Indians, Royals

AL Central Grade: B
I gave myself a B even though I only got 2 of the 5 right. The reason is I got the first place team right and I got a lot of grief for that pick. And first place is all that really matters anyway. Plus, the only team I really got wrong was the Tigers. Not to mention I went way out on a limb picking the Royals to finish last. So a B sounds fair.

AL East Predicted: Red Sox, Rays, Yankees, Blue Jays, Orioles
AL East Actual: Yankees, Red Sox, Rays, Blue Jays, Orioles

AL East Grade: C+
Again I got 2 out of 5. But in all fairness, I did have the order of the Sox and Rays correct. However, my first place decision was clouded by my disdain for the Yanks. I call that prediction more wishful thinking. I'll do better this year. But I deserve that C+.

2009 AL Prediction Wrap-up:
Overall, I got the right placement for 6 out of the total 14 teams. Not half bad. I really only missed Detroit and New York. I'll give them more credit this year. Learn from my mistakes. And don't forget, I picked the Twinkies when nobody else would touch them. Yeah. That was me. I did that.

See ya'll tomorrow. Questions? Comments? Love it? Hate it? Don't be shy. Comment below.

Wednesday, February 3

3 Point Plan To Keep Pujols in St. Louis
(Orig. Written 2/09)

This is an entry I wrote in February 2009 and never posted on here. I decided to revisit it and look at how much has changed in one year. Any changes to the original post will be in italics.

In a recent interview, Albert Pujols shared that he would love to finish his career in St. Louis. He went on to say that money is not everything he takes into consideration when deciding where he wants to play.

“Do I want to be in St. Louis forever?" Pujols said in the interview. "Of course, because that city has opened the door to me and my family like no other city is ever going to do. I don't want to play in any other city, but if that time comes… I don't think it's going to be anything compared to St. Louis.”

Don’t think it is that easy, though. There are still several things, three in specific; that the Redbirds must take care of if they wish to keep Pujols in St. Louis.

Point 1: Keep St. Louis a contender

"It's about being in a place to win and being in a position to win," said Pujols. "If the Cardinals are willing to do that and put a team together every year like they have, I'm going to try to work everything out to stay in this town. But if they're not on the same page of bringing championship caliber [players] to play every year, then it's time to go somewhere else where I can win."

If I were in the position of general manager John Mozeliak, and heard this from my star, Albert Pujols, I would never have an off-season like this past one ever again. The Cardinals missed the playoffs by more than a slim margin last year. One of the best ways to improve a team that missed the playoffs would be to add at least one difference maker to your team.

Whether it is a free-agent signing or a trade; add a player that will give you that extra push to propel you into October. On that note, the Cardinals key off season acquisition: Khalil Greene. Greene hit .213 in 2008.

The front office must become more proactive and spend some money out on the open market to show Pujols that they are trying to put together a contender if they want to keep him in St. Louis. A player of Pujols' talent is not going to be content with just the one World Series win.

The Cards are definitely taking care of that. Last offseason, our big 2 acquisitions were Dennys Reyes and Khalil Greene. This year was Brad Penny and Matt Holliday. J-Mo is finally listening to Albert.

Point 2: It may not be all about the money

"I'm not going to lie to you: It's not about the money all the time," said Pujols.

But sometimes it is. Pujols may love St. Louis and never want to leave, but Pujols isn’t a fool either. He knows what he’s worth. And while he may not expect the Cards to be able to dish out the kind of cash a New York or Los Angeles team can, he will expect them to at least be competitive.

This might worry some Cardinal fans considering that the Cards’ front office is beginning to earn a reputation as the penny-pinchers of MLB. After a 37 homer, outstanding season from outfielder Ryan Ludwick, he requested a reasonable $4.25 million. The Cardinals countered with a low-ball $2.8 million. There is no 37 home run player available for $2.8 million. It all worked out as the team and Ludwick eventually agreed to a contract one day before their scheduled arbitration hearing.

But if the team low-balls Pujols like they did Ludwick, Albert undoubtedly will walk. They need to make sure they offer him a fair market value for his skill level.

Hopefully by cutting some dead weight this offseason, they are preparing room in the budget for Pujols. If it means room for Pujols, I'll pack Ankiel's and Brad Thompson's bags. Also deferring millions of dollars from Holliday's contract is satisfying this goal as well.

Point 3: Keep up the fan support

Don’t think Pujols doesn’t notice that he plays in one of, if not the greatest baseball city in the country. Redbird fans may hate their team after a tough loss, but they never give up on their beloved Cardinals. The next night the sea of red will flood Busch once again, ready for redemption.

“People from other teams want to play in St. Louis and they're jealous that we're in St. Louis because the fans are unbelievable," said Pujols. "So why would you want to leave a place like St. Louis to go somewhere else…” He knows how lucky he is to play for a team with such a loyal fan base.

As long as the fans keep coming out to root on their Cardinals, Pujols will feel an undeniable pull to stay in St. Louis.

If the Cardinals front office and fans can follow this plan, Pujols will be able to get his wish: he will finish his career in St. Louis. As Pujols so obviously put it in a 2007 interview, “I love my city. I love St. Louis. Hopefully I can finish my career there.”

Redbird fans hope you do too, Albert.

Cardinal fans will always support their team. So it looks like all 3 criteria to keep Pujols a Cardinal have been filled. Now we sit back and wait - and pray - for the contract to be signed.